AMTD-TD AMERITRADE HOLDING CORPORATION-Price is 29.04. P/E is 19.36.  Cap is 15.58.  Short interest is 1.17.  Dividned is at about .68, for a total of say 5.4 with tax and 10 and growth.  Analysts are positive neutral.  P/E average is at like 20.32.  Book is 9.26.  Growth is at 22.7 this year,  and 15.14 next 3-5.  Book growth at 5.39. Return on equity is at 25?  Debt to equity is at 36.  These guys face headwinds from cheap alternatives like robinhood.  But I don’t see serious investors really making that switch.  Trades cost 10, robinhood free.  But robinhood doesn’t have the research or stability.  These guys make money on trades and on their margin lending.  If we’re only trading every once in a while 10$ isn’t so bad.  We could see book of 15.65, and EPS of 3.91 and thus a share price of say 74.33 plus that dividend of 5.4, for a price of about 80.  Not a bad return. If they came down to 25, I’d be ok.  I’d buy below 20.

AYI-ACUITY BRANDS INC-Price is at about 199.57. Cap is at 8.74b.  Short interest is at 4%.  P/E is at 36.35.  Dividend is at .52 or 4 with tax and ten.  Analysts are bullish.  Book is at 32.98.  Averag pe is maybe 27 or 29.  Earnings, revenue, capital spending all are awesome.  EPS is at 21.8 growht.  EPS long term is at 19.5 growth.  Book growht at 14% last 5.  Return on equity is at 17.86.  Long term debt is at 26%.  earnings growth over past 10 look good.  These guy do light and led stuff.  We could go with a conservative 14.5 for return on equity.  We’ll go with a 10% growth figure, which gives us a 85.54 book, and an EPS of 12.4 and with a p/e of 27, we could see a share price of 334.88 plus that 4 in dividends.  Total value of say 340. I think they are overpriced.  If they came down to 100 we’d be in business.

WBA-WALGREEN BOOTS ALLIANCE INC-Sells at 80.84.  They are up from 73, the 52 week low.  Cap is 87.21b.  Short interest is 1.39.  P/E is at 17.38.  Dividend is at 1.44, tand10, 10368.  Analysts are neutral.  Book is 28.29. EPS next year, 11.63.  Next 3-5 is 14%.  Book growth last 5 is at 16.47.  Return on equity is at 14.46.   Debt to equity is at 49.19.  Earnings have their ups and downs but are clockworkish.  Compounded growth of earnings at 8.61.  Not bad. Return on equity is always at about 14…some highs some lows.  Second largest drug store.  Decided not to relocate after acquiring boots alliance, which would’ve saved them seriously in taxes.  Looks like they suspended share buybacks in order to buyout rite aid.  They have historically good performance through recessions.  I think a fair rate of book growth would be 10 given that’s the compounded growth they’ve had for the past 10.  Thus we could see book of 73.38 and with a return on equity of 14, we’d see EPS of 10.27, and with a p/e of 17 we could see a price of 174.644 plus 10.368…Hmm.  They’d have to come below 50 to give me my return, plus I could see their profits hurt by more ePharma sites and associated deliveries.

BAM-BROOKFIELD ASSET MANAGEMENT INC-Sells at 28.88, near their 52 week low, down 16.71 on the year.  Dividend is at .48.  P/E is at 10.83.  Cap is at 28.53.  Short interest is at .44%.  Analysts are low neutral.  Book is at 24.92, p/e is at 1.34.  Historical p/e average is at 11.48.  Enterprise value is at 91.82b?  EPS this coming year is at -30.23.  EPS growth next 3-5 is unknown.  Book growth is at 25.77.  Return on equity is at 12.66.  Debt is at 246%…geez.  I don’t like the look of this company.  I think the debt makes it hard to invest.  Dividend with tax and 10 is about $3.6.  Question, how are they getting such a low return on equity with all that debt?  I won’t buy these guys.  I’ll put a price alert out for 20, and we’ll reassess at that point.

DEO-DIAGEO PLC-Sells at 106.51.  Their at a -8.81 performance on the year, trading near their 52 week low.  Cap is 67b.  Short interest is at .06.  P/E is non existent.  Dividend yield is at 4.26.  Analysts are VERY bearish. Book is at 19.51.  EPS this year is a ?.  EPS next 3-5 is at 4.5% growth.  Book is growing at 15.33.  Return on equity is a ?  Return on equity is actually not bad we’ll say 30% conservatively.  Book really has been growing nicely, but we’ll call it a 5.15% rate.  Debt is at like 1.2.  These guys make Guiness, Smirnoff, Captain Morgan, Johnnie Walker and Bailey’s.  People are concerned with problems with growth of these brands and with the strong dollar hurting their bottom line, because a majority of their revenue comes from the US.  These guys pay a huge dividend, but theres not gonna be a lot of growth.  I do see these brands as a problem. I’ll reassess if they come below 100.

MAR-MARRIOTT INTERNATIONAL INC-Selling at 62.46.  Down 20% on the year.  P/E is at 20.41.  Short interest is at 10.29.  Cap is at 16.06b. Dividend is at 1, we’ll call that 7.5 with tax and 10. Favorable PEG.  Analysts are neutral.  Book is negative 13.  Growth this year is at 19.55.  Next 3-5 at 22.7. Book growth is negative.  Return on equtiy is at -23. Debt to equity is at-124.  The story on this corp is debt. Why do they have so much damn debt.  Not a contender for me.  I’ll set an alert if they go down to 50.

UNH-UNITEDHEALTH GROUP-Sells at 114.33.  Up from 52 week low of 95. Dividend is at 2, we’ll call that 1.5 with tax and 10.  P/E is at 19.02.  Short interest is at 1.  Cap is at 108.97b. Analysts are neutral.  Book is at 35.39.  P/E average is at 13.95.  Earnings growth this year is unknown.  Next 3-5 is at like 13.63.  Book is at like 6.57 growth.  Revenue is growing.  Return on equity is at like 17.65.  Debt to equity is at 62.  Earnings are good, but spottyish.  I don’t know about getting involved in a company that is so subject to political pressure and governmental oversight and regulation.  We’ll use 5% book growth, giving us a book price of 73.38.  And with a return on equity, I’d feel comfortable using a figure of like 15.  And so, we could see EPS of 11, and thus a price of 154 plus that dividend of 10.  That’s a crap growth rate.  All of this guy Gaynor’s stocks kinda suck.  Buffett is the man.

GT-GOODYEAR TIRE AND RUBBER COMPANY-Sells at 28.49.  Up 9.83% on the year.  Dividend is at .28 for about $2.00 with tax and 10.  Cap is 7.66. Short interest is at 5.67.  P/E is a weird 2.8. Analysts are bullish.  Book is 15.41.  EPS growth this coming year is at 21.04, no projection for 3-5 out.  Book has grown at 37.48 over past 5.  REturn on equity is at 72.6.  Debt is at 151.58.  Kinda weird figures, but then we’re looking at tires.  Average p/e is at 13, we’ll say 10 to be safe.  They’ve been growing book very rapidly over the past 3 years, sorta spotty before that.  Historical return on equity is all over the place, but often very high…like in the 300s.  Median is 46.  Let’s go conservative with 25%.  This business is based hugely off of raw material prices…hugely influenced by oil. They have large pension obligations.  i just don’t think their growth figures are sustainable long term.  I think oil is gonna go up in the near term…next 2 years.  And that’s gonna cut their profitability by say 20%.  So we’ll say book grows at 10%.  That gives us a price of 40 and thus EPS of 10, and thus a price of 100…wow.  I see that this cyclical badboy may very well be undervalued…but they could easily face headwinds that will cut into earnings and dice the stock price.  I’ll consider them a buy if they go below 25.

SIG-SIGNET JEWELERS LTD-They own kay, zales, jared, piercing pagoda…they own the malls…and they own jewelry commercials.  Cap is at 9.75b.  P/E is at 23.16.  Dividend is at .88, for a total of say 6.6 after 10 and tax.  There is at 5.23 short interest.  No analyst consensus.  Book is at 35.79.  Average p/e is at 18.53.  EPS growth is at 18.68 this year and a similar figure next 3-5.  Book is at 9.35 growth last 5.  Return on equity is at 14.85.  Debt is at 47.35.  That’s a pretty nice company by the first look.  Let’s say book is at 84.73 in ten, we could see eps of 11.86 and thus a share price of 213.5 with a 18 p/e and including that dividend of 6.6 we could see a decent value of 220. We’ll they are selling at 122.54, so I can tell this isn’t gonna be a buy.  I think these middle of the road jewelers are overbought.  I’d pick em up if they came below 60, in the 55 range.

HD-HOME DEPOT INC-Sells at 122.76, they’re up 15% on the year.  Cap is 155.65.  Short interest is at 1.1%.  Dividend is 2.36, so with 10 and tax we’ll call that 16.  P/E is at 22.99.  Analysts are neutral. Book is a really low 6.01.  Average p/e is more like 20.36.  EPS growth next year v. this year is at 15.73.  Next 3-5 is at 14.39.  Book is shrinking?  at 13.63%?  Return on equity is at 79.55?  ebt is at 186%?  Historical return on equity would be a more reasonable 30…cuz a that debt.  They are really shrinking that book value…does that mean they’re shrinking inventory?  Or building?  Seeking alpha is irate over growth prospects.  There’s a funny article about decrease in fuel leading to consumer spending on things like depot.  I just don’t like the look and feel of this stock.  I’ll put an alert at 100, but I’ll reassess at that point.

LOW-LOWES COMPANIES INC-Sells at 70.50 up 1.37 on the year.  Analysts are very bullish.  Cap is at 64.51b.  Short interest is at .85%.  P/E is at 22.31.  Dividend is at 1.12, and we’ll say with tax and 10 we have a value of $8.  Book is at 9.14.  Book is shrinking here too.  EPS growth is at 17.  EPS next 3-5 is at 17.  Return on equity is at 32.7.  Debt is at 117.  It’s weird with these hardware retailers.  It’s like they decided we won’t use our own money anymore…all debt.  Leaving them seemingly susceptible to a decrease in consumer spending without more access to debt.  I don’t know about these guys.  They’re supposed to earn.  And i don’t see builders ordering stuff online when they could go to the store.  I just think wal mart and costco are better purchases than lowes and home depot.  Great points on seeking alpha about debt and equity.  I’ll set a price watch for 55.  We’ll see.  To be re analyzed at that point.

KMX-CARMAX GROUP-These guys are really trading near their 52 week lows at 45.85 today.  They pay no dividend.  P/E is at 15.36.  Cap is 8.97b.  There is a 12.49 short interest.  Analysts are low neutral. Growth is actually pretty awesome aside from a bad year in 2008.  Book is 14.74.  Enterprise value is a whopping 19.22.  Average p/e is 20.  EPS long term is 14.75%.  EPS this year is 11.92.  Book growth past 5 is 10.3.  Return on equity is at 19.93.  Debt is really high unfortunately at 301%.

OK might have to check out their stores.

Using a 10% growth figure, we could see book at 38.23 in 10.  And with a median return on equity of 16.3, we could see EPS of 6.23 and with a 20 p/e multiple, we could see a price of 124.  That would be a pretty conservative rate of 10.46…plus they have all that debt.  I’d look if they came down to 40, and I’d buy if they came down to 35.  We’ll see.

JNJ-JOHNSON AND JOHNSON-Selling for 96.75.  They are down 5.85% on the year.They pay a $3 dividend.  P/E is at 18.34.  Cap is at 267.7.  Short interest is at 1.  Analysts are very bullish.  Book is 25.86.  Average P/E is 18.18. EPS growth past 5 is at 5.31.  EPS this year is 3.56.  Next 3-5 is at 5.35.  Book growth is at 6.64.  Return on equity is at 21.  Debt to equity is at 20%.  With 10 and tax, their dividend comes to 26.26.  Let’s say they grow book at 6.64, book could come to 49.18, and thus we could easily see EPS of 10.327 for a price of 187.75 plus a dividend of 26.26.  That’s only a 8.26 return.  They would need to come down to the 55 range or lower.

HBI-HANESBRANDS INC-Trading at 29.25, up 5% on the year.  Short interest is at 3.29.  Cap is at 11.46b.  P/E is at 29.47.  Dividend is at .4 for the year, we’ll just call that $3 after 10 and tax.  Analysts are neutral.  Their earnings are VERY spotty.  Book is at 3.19, book growth last five years is at 32.88?  EPS this year is at 13.10%, and at 13 in the next 3-5. Return on equity is at 29.07.  Debt to equity is at 148.  Return on equity is always really high 29 is usable.  They’ve really been growing that book value after running into hard times in 2008.  Let’s call their book growth at 25%.  These are powerful multiples here.  Their weakness is their debt…there is just so much.  We could see a whopping 29.71 in book, and we could see EPS of 8.61, let’s take that down to 7.61 for debt, and with a reasonable 2o p/e we could see a price of 152 plus 3 in dividends.  That’s a great return.  This stock is a buy, even with that debt. Let’s keep an eye on them with a price of 28.

 

AXP-AMERICAN EXPRESS COMPANY-Today this stock was down 12.10%.  That’s awesome.  I bought 22 shares at a cost basis of 61.  I also bought 55 shares at 54.5.  The company is totally beleaguered.  One piece of bad news after another…but none of it is THAT bad.

Let’s review the stock from the price of 55.  What is our hypothetical, conservative 10 year rate of return.

Cap is now 54.19b.  Short interest is at 1.72%.  P/E is 12.45, trailing 12 months.  Dividend is at .29 or 1.16 per year.

Earnings are down this quarter due to some one time write downs.  We also have problems in the near term because of the Costco business losses.  We’ll call the dividend 10.04 after 10 and tax.

Book per share is 21.67.  Thus we have price to book of 2.538.  We have EPS of 4.377 trailing 12 months…low because of this quarter’s write downs.  earnings expectations of 5.5 in 2016 and 5.5-5.7 ish in 2017.  Book grows at 7.49.  EPS growth is at 7.48 over next 3-5.  Return on equity of course is always high, but we’ll call it 25.

Debt to equity is kinda unknown.  They have been seriously buying shares back.

Let’s go really conservative.  Let’s say we just take that 4.377 figure and run with it…we’re definitely looking up from here.  We’ll show 20% growth next year even with the costco losses because of that write down…next year is gonna look like a coup.  So, let’s be reasonable, in 10 years, we’ll have book of 44.62 (probably) and dividend earnings of 10.04, we could easily have earnings of 11.155, and Amex, using a reasonable P/E of 15, we’d have a price point of 167.325 plus that dividend of 10.04 f0r a price of 177.365.  That gives us a long term growth rate of 12.42…and we are using very conservative view here.  Ya, it’s not my 15%, and that 2.5% makes a huge difference to me.  But man-o-man, it’s gonna be a great investment.  There’s no reason for the company to go any lower, and if it does, it’s just speculation.

I’ll gauge this investment again in 2 years.

 

 

 

The market rout continues.  It’s awesome.  People are worried about oil, china, stocks are falling.  Are we facing a bear?  I dunno, prolly not, but my price triggers are going off all over the place.

The market is down 468 or 2.93%.

Some of my soft triggers went, but some great ones went off too.  I reset triggers where necessary.

I’ve added 35 shares of V at 69.2775.

50 shares of CSCO at 22.77.

10 shares of FDX at 27.3

26 shares of SYF at 27.23.

It’s a bloodbath in the market right now.

MU-MICRON TECHNOLOGY INC-Cap is 11.2b.  Short interest is 5.83.  P/E is 6. They are down 62% on the year.  Analysts are varied.  ook is at 11.93.  They are supposed to have a great year, future is sorta unknown.  Book grows at 8.93. Return on equity is at 16.99.  Debt is at 49.51.  Their earnings are going down in the dumps…but why.  In consistent earnings, selling below book.  Let’s say things stay flat.  Lot’s of speculation about this company.  I’d buy at 5.  Their stock will probably shoot up.  Price is at 10.8.  I’ll put in a 7.5 and a 10 price point here as well.

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LOOKS LIKE WE MAY HAVE A BIG DOWN DAY TODAY:

THRM-GENTHERM INC-They are nearing at 37.46.  P/E is 15.67.  Cap is 1.36b.  Short interest is at 3.87.  Analysts are bullish.  Earnings are upward and pretty good.  Book is 9.73.  P/E average is at 40.  EPS this year growth is 9.58.  Next 3-5 is 25.  Book growth is 43.57. Return on equity is at 27.32.  Debt to assets is at 26.94.  Been doing great lately, mean is 14 for r on e.  These guys are growing and they seem to make car seat heaters.   So lets say they keep a 15p/e and lets say we keep book growint at only 14.  We could see book of 36.07.  And with a 25 return that year.  We could see EPS of 9, and thus a price of 135.26.  I’d buy at 32-33.

PYPL-PAYPAL HOLDINGS INC-Sells at 32.2.  Not far above their 52 week low.  P/E is at 34.62. Cap is a lofty 39.34b.  Short interest is 2%.  Analysts are bearish.  Book is 10.82 per share.  EPS this year is 18% growth, and 17% moving forward.  Book grows at 2.22.  Return on equity is at 10.71.  No debt.  These guys prolly shouldn’t be judged based on return on equity.  Let’s say they’ll grow at 5 return on equity, and let’s say their multiple is 30.  Price of 17.82, and EPS of say 2.64, and thus we have a price of say 92.4.  I speculate this company will grow and blossom.  I think 22.5 or 22 is a reasonable entry point.

TZOO-TRAVELZOO INC-Price is at 7.3.  P/E is at 9.13.  Short interest is at 2.  Cap is only 107m.  Analysts are neutral. Book is 1.52.  EPS is supposed to be up 20%.  Book is growing at 5.  Return on equity is 32.47.  3.93in debt.  Earnings are unsteady.  This is a really nice company for travel deals.  I could see book at 2.48.  and thus EPS of .496, and thus a price of 5.  I can’t buy this company.  I can buy at 1.5.

NVR-NVR INC-is a home builder in the US.  They currently sell fro 1520 per share.  They are up 18% on the year.  P/E is 18.65.  Cap is 5.95b.  Short interest is 2.42.  Analysts are very bullish.  Book is 311 per share.  Average p/e is 23.31.  EPS growth this year is at 24.72.  Next 3-5 is at 23.8.  Book growth is negative.   Return on equity is at 29.  Debt is at 49.88.  Earnings are upward but quarter to quarter, things are spotty.  Return on equity is sorta spotty.  I would call 18 a fair average.  We’ll use a p/e of 17.  We’ll say book grows at 8, we could see book of 671.43 per share and thus EPS of 167.82, and thus a value of  2,853.02…conservatively speaking.  That’s a return of 6.5.  I’d buy at 1200, given my multiples here.

BVX-BOVIE MEDICAL CORP-Sells at 2.15, down 60% on the year, but still up from the 52 week low of 1.72.  P/E is 15.86. Cap is at 60.37.  No short interest.  Analysts are bullish.  Book is .91 per share.  EPS growth this year is 65%, and 15 going forwrad.  Book has shrunk this past year.  Return on equity is negative.  Debt is at 15.73%.  Historical r on e is insane.  This is a stupid little company.  I won’t buy.

AMWD-AMERICAN WOODMARK CORP-Sells at 66.22, up 64% on the year.  No dividend, P/E is at 20.69.  Cap is 1.06b.  Short interest is at 3.51.  Analysts are very bullish.  Book is at 16.38.  Earnings are expected this year.  Book is growing at 5.57.  REturn on equity is at 21.36.  Debt is 8.65.  These guys are a commodity cabinet maker.  I don’t like their business.

EBAY-Not consistently profitable.  Analysts are bullish.

ICLR-Sells at 69.49, up from the 52 week low of 55.21.  P/E is 18.77.  Cap is 3.87b.  Short interest is 4.61.  Book is 15.08 per share.  EPS this year unknown, and in 3-5 unknown.  Book growth is 10%. Return on equity is at 23.07.  No debt.  Earnings grow well, except they were terrible in 2010.  These guys do outsourced clinical studies for biotech, medical devices and pharma.  Looks like could lose a big account with phizer.  Let’s see.  I’ll consider investing at the end of 2016, price point?  We could see book of 39.11, and thus EPS of 7.822, and conservatively, a price of 117.33.  I’d buy em for 45-50, upon recheck of stats.

plnr – bought out

lrad-these guys have questionable management and they make sirens…weird

IVTY-recent ipo

LDL-LYDALL INC-these guys make performance filters.  Cap is 470.53m.  Short interest is at 1.28.  P/E is at 10.08.  They are selling for 27.69, near their 52 week low.  Analysts are gaga.  Book is 14.21 per share.  EPS forward is 9.52.  EPS next 3-5 is at 22.5.  Book growth is at 6.28 over past 5 years.  Return on equity is at 20.72, no real debt at 17.81. Historical return on equity is at a sort of uneven median of 6, but higher in recent years.  We could see book of 26.13, and we could see EPS of 5.2, and thus a share price of 52.  They seem like a good company, and they are expected to grow certainly.  Historical earnings look great too.  Earnings growth are at 22.22 compounded over the past 10 years.  This company is just getting awesome, so they don’t have the pedigree of earnings and r on e. So it’s hard to give them a good valuation.  Book has been growing at 4.84%.  I just think this company is overbought.  I’ll buy for sure at 15.  I’ll put a trigger at 20.  We’ll see.  UPON REVIEW: They are now selling at 27.47.  Book is still at 14.21.  No dividend.  Book value per share is compounding kinda slowly.  But let’s say return on equity is 10, as it has been,  and let’s give them a book of 36.86.  With a r on e of 20, we could see EPS of 7.372 and with a 10 p/e we could see a value of 73.72.  I just agree with that 20 price point.

calgon-filtration

YNDX-russian search engine…na.

VKTX-VIKING THERAPEUTICS-crap little company

PRAH-95 p/e

ASB-ASSOCIATED BANC CORP-These guys are selling at 16.38.  Book is at 19.57.  P/E is at 13.49.  Book grows at 4.23.  EPS this year 11% growth.  Next 3-5 7.66 growth.  Return on equity is 6.73.  Debt is 118%. Dividend is at .44, with 10 and tax that’s about 5.14.  Book could easily be at 29.62, and thus r on e would be 2 for a price of 20 + dividends of 5.14.  I’ll buy if they come down to 7, 10, 15.

CE-CELANESE CORP-good earnings.  Near their 52 week low, trading at 59.2. Analysts are neutral. Dividend is 1.2.  P/E is 17.84.  Cap is 8.69b.  Short interest is 3.73. Book is 18.55.  Growth this year is 5.79%.  EPS growth next 3-5 is 8.42. Return on equity is 18.12.  Debt is 88%.  Return on equity is always really high.  With 10 and tax, dividend comes to 10.39.  Book sometimes grows at very high figures, and they go through the book for various reasons year to year.  We’ll use a figure of 5%, but that is really pigeonholing them.  Book will be 30.22 eps let’s say is 50, and thus we have EPS of 15, and using a reasonable p/e of 15, we have a value of 225 plus our 10.39 dividend for a prospective yet conservative value of 235.39.  I may have to reevaluate, but this stock is close to a buy.  I’ll put an alert out for 57, and then at 55, and I may have to crunch again before trigger is pulled.

CSII-CADRIOVASCULAR SYSTEMS INC- they don’t earn money.

DGII-DIGI INTERNATIONAL INC-Analysts lurve it.  P/E is at 38.56.  Short interest is at 1.3.  Cap is at 265m.  They are up 22 in the very recent past.  Book is at 10.98 per share.  P/E was historically 59.08.  Earnings this year are supposed to be up 27%.  Book is growing at 2.71.  Return on equity is at 2.46.  There is no debt.  Ownership interest is at 3.4%.  Earnings are spotty, and they were doing better 5+ years ago.  Median return on equity is at 4.38.  This company creates wireless connectivity and remote control over industrial machinery and other stuff.  They don’t have enough stability, these guys are still using their book to stay afloat.  We’re gonna find out about earnings tomorrow after market…so this thing may shoot up on friday…or crash.

ETFC-E TRADE FINANCIAL CORPORATION-Price is 24.33.  Cap is at 7.13b.  Short interest is at 1.74.  P/E is at 33.53.  They are up 11.91% on the year.  Analysts are negative to neutral.  Book is at 20.01.  P/E historically is at 34.22.  EPS growth this year is supposed to be way up.  In next 3-5, up 18.51.  Book grows at 7.47.  Return on equity is at 3.94.  39% debt.  We could see a book value of 39.36, we could see earnings of say 1.968, and thus a price of say 59.  i guess I could buy at 15.

HBHC-HANCOCK HOLDING COMPANY-Price is 21.17. Dividend is at .96.  Cap is 1.64b.  Short interest is at 9.  Analysts don’t like it.  Book is at 31.65.  P/E average is at 19, and P/E of 11 right now.  Book value growth per share is at 24.17.  EPS is at 20.57.  Forward EPS is at 8.  Return on equity is at 6.39.  Debt is kinda low at 19%.  We’ll say 10 for book growth in the future (book of 82.09), and with a return on equity of 7, we’ll see EPS of 5.74, and with a p/e of 10, we’ll see a price of 57.4, and thus a growth rate of 10.49. I can buy at 14.5

HXL-HEXCEL CORPORATION-Sells at 39.44.  These guys have great earnings, but they seem a bit overweight.  Dividend is at .4.  P/E is at 16.09.  Cap is at 3.73b.  Short interest is at 7.75.  Analysts are neutral.  Book is at 12.65.  Book is growing at 14 for past 5.  EPS is estimated at +10 this coming year.  +10 over next 3-5.  Return on equity is at 19.86. Debt is at 42.  Dividend interest could come to 3.5 after tax and 10.  Too small and unreliable. Great return on equity, consistently above 20. Pretty good book growth, with a 18% clip.  Ok.  They are pretty good.  We could see book at 46.9 in 10 with 14% growth.  We could see EPS at 8.9 if we use 19 r on e.  and with a 15p/e we could see a value of 133.5 plus 3.5. With a value of 137, return would be a nice 13.26.  I would buy gladly at 33.5.  Doable.

PBCT-PEOPLES UNITED FINANCIAL INC-Sells at 14.44. Analysts love em.  P/E is at 17.01.  Dividend is at .668, 5.49 with tax and 10. Short interest is at 9.65.  Cap is at 4.48b.  Book is 15.64.  EPS growth is at 10.47.  In 3-5, 6.66.  Book is sorta stagnant over last 5.  Return on equity is at 5.42.  Debt is at 71.49.  Earnings history is pretty good.  Median return on equity is 4.8.  Book was growing very consistently, but they’ve let that stagnate over the past 10 years.  Let’s say book goes to 26.57 over the next 10.  With a low r on e we could see a 1.44 EPS, we could see a price of 21.6 plus that 5.49, for a value of 27.09.  I’d buy at 7.

RMD-RESMED INC-7.51 b cap.  8.93 short interest.  Price is 53.76. P/E is 21.81.  Dividend is at 1.2.  They are not far from their 52 week low.  Analysts love em.  They have great earnings.  With tax and ten, that dividend is 10.27.  Book is 10.47.  EPS is up 11% this year, and up 9.36 over the next 3-5.  Book growing at 4.28.  Return on equity is at 22.68.  Debt to equity is at 27.73.  Historical return on equity is at 15.16 for median.  We could see book of 15.92, and thus EPS of 2.388, and thus a share price of 47.76 with a 20 p/e plus that 10.27 in dividends. This stock is overbought.  No price point.

VASC-VASCULAR SOLUTIONS INC-Trades at 29.72.  Book is 7.19.  P/E is at 40.46.  EPS growth is 12.5.  20 over next 3-5.  Book growing at 22.91.  No debt.  Return on equity is 11.05.  Analysts love it.  Say book is at 44.52, EPS is 4.897 and with a multiple of 18, we see a price of 88.  We see an entry price of 15….everyone just expects this company to make money…but their return on equity sucks.

 

Katie waz here

None of the stocks I’ve been watching came into a reasonable price range today.

BSET-BASSETT FURNITURE INDUSTRIES INC-I’ve had my eyes on this company for a while, and I’ve watched them triple in price.  Trading at 24.22, they are above their 52 week low of 19.75, and they are up 25% on the year.  Dividend is at .36.  EPS is at 1.686.  Cap is 270.07m.  Short interest is at 1.87.  Analysts are very bullish.  Mom and dad don’t like this furniture. They have 16.1 in book.   Current p/e is 14.  The average is at about 13.78.  Earnings this year are expected at 14.38.  In 3-5, who knows.  Book is growing at 7.29.  Return on equity is at 10.98.  Debt is at 5.03%.  Let’s say they continue growing book at 7.29.  We could see dividends at 3.15 with tax and 10.  We could see book at 32.54, and EPS at 3.57, and thus a price of 48.195 plus dividends of 3.15 for a value of 51.345. That would be 7.8% growth.  I’d buy if they were at 12.5 and earnings were still there.

SYF-SYNCHRONY FINANCIAL-Is trading at 28.03, near their 52 week low of 26.28.  P/E is at 10.47.  Cap is 23.05.  Short interest is at 1.19.  PEG ratio indicates they might be overweight.  Analysts are very bullish.  Book is at 14.58 per share.  Earnings growth this year is at 6.46.  In 3-5 its at 3.84.  Book is growing at 17.99.  Return on equity is at 19.43. Debt is high at 213.24…that’s the way it always is for these credit card companies.  Historical return on equity is at abut 25 for the last couple of years.  These guys do credit cards for different stores.  How are they gonna grow if all the stores are suffering? Huh?  Huh?  Ya.  Anyway, my analysis says, based on future book growth of 58.98, we’ll have EPS of say 11.2.  And we could see a price of 112.  I can buy at 27.5.  They just need to come down a bit more.

LC-LENDINGCLUB CORPORATION-These guys are down 65% on the year, trading at 7.34.  Short interest is at 12.67.  Cap is 2.92b.  No P/E.  No dividend.  Analysts are bearish.  Book is at 2.69 per share.  EPS this year is at 108.33.  Next 3-5 is at 98.  Book growth is neutral.  Return on equity is negative.  Tons of debt…348 to equity.  Earnings are weird…new IPO?  Spotty, but looks like they are improving or getting steady.  Insiders own 17.3.  I can’t speculate they’ll become profitable.  It wouldn’t be right.  I think their stock is gonna pop. though.

 

SHW-SHERWIN WILLIAMS-SELLING AT 242.1, near the 52 week low.  P/E is 23.23.  Dividend is 2.68.  EPS is 10.42.  Short interest is 1.45.  Analysts are bored.  Book is 10.49.  P/E is on average about 24.  Growth is expected at 16.74 this year and 18 in 3-5.  Book is actually shrinking.  Return on equity is 123%.  ebt is at 165.  hmm….are they doin buy backs.  With 10 and tax, dividend is at 24.51. Historical r on e is hugh like 60.  We can put book growth at 18, to give us book of 54.9, and thus with 60 on return on equity, perhaps 32.76 in eps and perhaps a price of 655. My buy point is at 175.  They are just tooo dang pricy.

DRI-DARDEN RESTAURANTS INC-They are trading at 60.23 14% up from their 52 week low.  Cap is 7.72.  Short interest is 7.95.  P/E is 21.59.  Dividend is 2.  EPS is 2.79…that’s a lot of dividend.  Analysts are neutral.  Book is 15.52.  Growth this year 13, 3-5 is 15.  Book growth is at 5.  Return on equity is 15.92. Debt to equity is54.46.  Earnings are pretty good but not great. Return on equity is pretty screwy.  Eh, I just don’t buy this company.  Very speculative.

CHMT-CHEMTURA CORPORAION- is up 10.51% on the year at 24.81.  P/E is 2.63.  Cap is 1.67.  Short interest is at 2.64.  Analysts are bullish.  Book is 14.41.  P/E historically is very high, average might be 15.  Book growth is at 45.94.  EPS growth is at 27.08.  EPS growth in 305 is 38.1. Return on equity is a 79.00. Debt to equity is 53%.  They’ve fought for profitability, and they have great earnings.  Insiders own 1.8%.  They make special performance industrial chemicals.  REturn on equity is a pretty safe 14. Book could be stated at 53.42, and thus we could see eps of 42, and thus a share price of 120 easy.  I think this strange little company is a buy at 20.

MCHX-MARCHEX INC-Is selling at 3.49, their low.  They hae a 146m cap. Short interest is at 1.49.  Analysts are neutral.  Book is at 4.39.  They are bombing this year, but in 3-5 things should be at 15%  Book growth is at 2.  Return on equity is negative.  No debt.  Earnings are very spotty.  They are a mobile advert company.  This is a speculative play.  I could buy em at 2.5. They are sellingat 69.59, down 28% on the year.  Short interest is 3.81.  P/E is at 18.12.

BABA-ALIBABA GROUP HOLDING LIMITED-analysts are very bearish.  They have 12.07 I book.  They are supposed to grow at 28.8 this coming year, and 24.7 in 3-5.  Book is growing at 36.23.  Return on equity is at 37.42. Debt is at 31.08.  So, I don’t see why this company is trading so low.  Cap is at 174b.  I think I’ll scoop some up with all these china woes.  Don’t really like the idea that BABA shares are not really Chinese shares, we’re just buying shares in a caymen shell corp.  Let’s say book is 112 in 10 years, and EPS is then 30.24.  And we have a low valuation of 15, we would have a crazy share price of 453…ya.  This seems like a great time to take advantage of china’s woes.  I’ll set price points at 67, 65 and 61.

BIDU-BAIDU INC-They are down 24% on the year.  Selling at 163.92.  Cap is 56.66b.  P/E is at 30.87.  Short interest is at 2.29.  Analysts are bearish.  Book is 25.55.  Earnings growth this year are 28, and in 3-5 16.95.  Return on equity is at 21.46.  Debt to equity is at 52.77.  Return on equity is historically, conservatively at 22.  Book is growing steadily.  I’ll keep their p/e at 25.5, and we’ll call their book growth at 20.  We could be looking at book of 158…and perhaps  EPS of 31, and maybe a price of 632.  I’d buy at 155.

XOM-EXXON MOBIL CORP-selling at 77.58. P/E is at 16.37.  Short interest is at 1.21. Dividend is 2.92.  Cap is 322.  Analysts are very bearish.  Growth is going down.  Book is 41.01.  Book value is growing at 9.8.  REturn on equity is 9.93.  Debt is at 11%.  Let’s say they grow book at 5%, that’ll give us 66.8 in book plus dividend with tax and 10 of 25.68.  EPS in year ten may be 6.68 for share price of 107 plus 25.68.  I’d buy em at 35 40.

DDS-DILLARDS INC-sells at 62.37.  2.29 is cap.  Short interest is at 12.59.  P/E is 8.  Dividend is .28.  EPS would be 7.76.  Analysts are low neutral.  Book is 48.46.  Earnings this year are 5.8, and 4.67 going forward.  Book is shrinking. Return on equity is 15.96.  Debt is at 45.  Dividend is at 2.45 after 10 and tax.  Let’s say they grow their book at 5%.  We have book of 78.94, and thus a EPS of 11.8…maybe  and perhaps a share price of 94.  I could buy em at 22.

HOG-HARLEY DAVIDSON INC-trades at 40.44.  Cap is 7.76.  Short interest is 11.27.   Dividend is at 1.24.  P/E is at 10.78.  Analysts are very bearish.  Book is 13.34.  P/E is usually at about 20.  EPS this year is 12.33.  And in 3-5 10.4.  Book return is at 6.6.  Return on equity is at 27.46.  Debt to equity is at 155%. So we couls see book of 25.28.  and then EPS of 7.33 for a price of say 109.  plus that dividend  with tax and ten at 12.95, for a value of 122.95.  I’d buy at 30.

ORCL-ORACLE CORP-Selling at 34.12, essentially the 52 week low.  They pay .6 in dividends.  Cap is 143.35b.  P/E is 16.33.  Analysts are neutral.  Book is 10.91.  P/E is pretty normal.  EPS next year is 9, and 3-5 7.95.  Book growth is at 9.58.  Return on equity is 19.39. Debt is at 79.15. We could see boo of 28.3 and thus an EPS OF 5.66  for a price of 85 plus 5.14 in divdends after 10 and tax.  I’ll buy at 22.

I did a screen EPS over 5 next 5, Debt less than 50%.  Return on E over 20.  No dividend.  P/B less than 4.

COB-COMMUNITYONE BANCORP-selling at 12.49.  P/E is 1.82.  Cap is 303m.  Short is at 1%.  Analysts are very bearish.  Book is 11.31.  They have 26% expectation of eps growth this coming year.  Book is growing at 39%.  Return on equity is at 55.87.  They have 51% debt to equity.  They were super unprofitable for a long time.  Now their earnings are unsteady.  RonE is at very weird figures.  I can only say, they are not reliable.  They are getting bought for  14.25 per share.  There is not a lot of volume.  I’ll set a price alert for 10.  If it goes down, I’ll look into the arb opportunity.

EMKR-EMCORE CORP-They are up 9% on the year, selling at 5.66. No dividend.  Cap is 145m.  P/E is non existent.  Analysts are very bearish.  Book is 5.28.  Earnings are supposed to skyrocket this year with 54.55% growth.  Book has been growing at 3.61.  Return on equity is negative.  No debt figures.  I guess guys are a broadband and fibre optics commodity producer.  Insiders own 10.6%.  It would be a gift to call return on equity figures growth 3.61.  They have a big book, and, upon review, a lot of hidden value.  So lets say they grow to 7.53, and we call one of their pops and we have eps of 3.76, and lets give em a p/e of 2, they could have a price of 7.53.  I’d buy em for 2.

HIBB-HIBBETT SPORTS INC-Sells at their 52 week low.  Short interest is 23.74.  P/E is at 10.  EPS would be 2.949.  Analysts are very bullish…on the short?  Book is 12.93.  Their growth figures are great.  7.61 this year.  8.64 coming 305.  Book growth is at 13.15.  Return on equity is at 22.58.  Debt is at .88%.   They are a retailer but they’ve been growing ok.  Return on equity is always really high like 22+, so I’ll just say 20.  Cap is at 678m.  We’ll use a p/e of 8 moving forward.  We’ll also compound our book at 12.  That would give us book of 40.16, and thus a 8eps with a 20% gain in year 10.  With a p/e of 8, we could see a price of 64.  I’d buy for 15.5.

SCSS-SELECT COMFORT-We’re looking at a price of 19.86, 52 week low. P/E is 11.55.  Short interest is at 5.82.  Cap is 1.01b.  Analysts are positive/neutral.  Book is 5.37.  Book grows at 62.  EPS growth is at 17.  Forward, 15.8.  Return on equity is at 34.38.  Debt is o.  Earnings are pretty good, maybe spotty, but they have a really bad quarter coming.  Why?  Insiders own like 4%.  Insiders are buying, not really selling. Return on equity is always awesome.  We’ll say 20, but its a lot higher.  Checked reviews, they are not loved.  We’ll say book in 10 of 33.25, and earnings of 6.65 and perhaps a share price of 66.5 with a 10 p/e…but lets go with a 9 p/e and thus we have a price of 59.85.  I’ll buy it up at 15.  Crazy stupid value.

SYNT-SYNTEL INC-is trading at 44.34.  Near their 52 week low.  Cap is 3.72.  P/E is 14.98.  EPS of 2.959.  Analysts are VERY bullish.  Book is at 13.01 per share.  Short interest is at 1.36.  EPS growth is 6.6 this coming year.  EPS in 3-5 is at 15.  Book growth is at 22.05.  Return on equity 24.36.  Debt to equity 6%.  This company grows excellently.  Insider ownership is at like 5.5%. Return on equity is always huge like 22+.   This company provides IT and knowledge process outsourcing.  SEE also Wipro and genpact.  KPO is more skilled work than outsourcing data entry, payroll, bookkeeping, etc.  It looks like they could get in trouble if they lose their amex or fedex contracts.  Let’s see.  Let’s say book grows at only 17, that gives us book of 62.54, and thus EPS of 10.63, and with the p/e of 14, we’ll see a valuation of 148.82.  This is a great company.  I’d buy em now, but I’d be in great shape at 42.

TARO-TARO PHARMACEUTICAL INDUSTRIES LTD-Trading at 144.92, near their 52 week low.  Cap is 6.21b.  Short interest is .81.  P/E is 11.67.  EPS is 12.33.  Analysts are very bearish. Book is 37.59 per share.  EPS in coming years is not estimated.  Book growth is at 36.96.  Return on equity is at 36.32. Debt is at .29%.  Earnings are pretty steady with healthy bumps.  Return on equity is always really, really high.  So what’s the deal here: price held down by conflicting managing interests.  A larger company is milking our guy here.   Serious management questions.  I think this company is a monkey to sun pharma.  I like the idea of investing in fundamentals though.  So at a 17 rate of growth, we’ll have 180.69 in book, and thus 30.71 in EPS and thus 307 with a p/e of 12.  That’s some real conservative rejiggering.  Eh, I don’t like scummy self-interested boards.  I’ll buy em at 110.

VNDA-VANDA PHARMACEUTICALS INC-Price is at 8.83.  52 week low is at 8.  P/E is 748.  Short interest is at 18%.  Cap is 378.06.  Analysts are very bearish.  Book is 3.41 per share.  Book growth is at 47%.  Retrn on equity is at 29.33.  Debt is none.  With 20% rate, we’ll see book of 21.11, and thus 4.222 in EPS, and thus with a 9 p/e a price of say 38.  They are buyable with this range, but what’s the problem here.  There is something scammy here.  I’d buy at 5.