GILD-GILEAD SCIENCES INC-Selling at 83.00 right at the 52 week low.  Cap is at 119.62.  P/E is at 7.6.  Short interest is at 1.61.  Dividend is at 1.72 per shrare annualized…but it does look like they just started their dividend in 2015.  EPS is 10.92 and thus dividend is at about 16% of EPS.  Analysts are very bullish.  Book value is at 12.02.  Enterprise value is at 126b.  Book per share is at 19.36 growth.  EPS this year is supposed ot be slightly negative, but then 14.69 growht over next 5.  Return on equity is at 102%.  Debt is at 86%.   Earnings growth kinda goes up and down year to year, but compounds at an insane 28%.  These guys are a biotech firm under political scrutiny due to their prices.  If they don’t get crushed by some kind of new regulation, they’ll pretty clearly be a buy, but let’s see, return on equity will be at like 30 historically.  Book grows at an insane 20% over the last 10.  So let’s say book grows at 15%, we’d have book of 48.63, and thus EPS of 14.589 and thus a share price of 116 using an 8 p/e.  I’m giving this company pretty much every opportunity to suck and in the worst case scenario I think it will work out, but let’s say they continue on their trajectory.  We could see book of 74.42, and thus EPS of say 37.21 with a .5 r on e. and with a 15 p/e we could see a price of say,  558.15.  That’s a monster 20.99 return.  If they came down to 70, I’d take a position.  There is a lot of speculative growth potential, but their are powerful forces at work here.

USB-US BANCORP-Selling at 40.  The 52 week low is at 37.97.  Dividend is at 1 per year.  P/E is at 12.64 and EPS is at 3.16, and thus dividends are 32% of EPS.  Short interest is at .79%.  Analysts are bearish.  Earnings are pretty good, but they are a bank and so they suffered during the recession.  70b in cap.  Book is at 26.44.  Forward EPS is at 7.99 growth.  5.4 in next 3-5 years.  Book growth is at 8% over last 5.  Return on equity is at 14.  Debt is at 83.51.  Return on equity is always at like 13.  Book grows at a very consistent 8%.  So let’s say book is at 57.08.  Let’s say that dividend is at 10 with ten and tax.  We could see EPS of say 7.42 and with a p/e of 12, we could see a price of say 94 plus the ten for a value of 104.  That’s a pretty great 10% return.  I see why buffett likes these guys.  They are gonna be a great stock, but they are only gonna compound at like 10.  I’d buy for 25 and hold for life.  I’ll by at 32 because they are so good.

CVS-CVS HEALTH CORPORATION-Selling at 96.59.  Cap is at 106.96b.  Short interest is at 1.39.  P/E is at 21.8.  Dividend is at 1.7.  EPS is at 4.43 and thus dividend is at 38% of earnings.  Analysts are bullish.  Book is at 33.49.  P/E average is at 18.08.  Earnings are projected to grow at 12.77 and 14.41 over next3-5.  Book only grew at 1.2% this year?  Return on equity is at 13.54 this year.  Debt is at 41.4.   Earnings have been growing very well.  Earnings grew at 12.66 over the past 10…wow. Book has been growing at a fantastic pace.  Book has grown at 12.83 in the past 10.  Return on equity is at about 12 average.  So let’s say book is at 104.01 in 10, and so with r on e of 12, we could see EPS of 12.48 and with an average p/e of 18, we could see a price of 224.64 plus dividends of say 15, we’ll call it 240.  That’s a 9.53% return.  My entry point is at 75.

TSQ-TOWNSQUARE MEDIA INC-Sells at 9.4.  Selling near their 52 week low.  No dividend.  P/E is at 25.41.  .8% short interest.  Cap is at 167.87m.  Analysts are kinda neutral.  Book is at 20.20.  No earnings estimates.  No EPS growth estimates.  Return on equity is at 3.6%?  Debt to equity is at 162.99.  These guys have very spotty earnings growth.  Na.  This is speculative stuff that some guy in Barron’s suggested.

DHR-DANAHER CORP-These guys have great earnings, and they are set to split into 2 companies in q3 of 2016.  Cap is 59.38b.  P/E is at 23.61.  Dividend is at .54.  They are up 3.24% on the year.  Analysts are neutral. Book is at 34.49 per share.  Enterprise value is at 71.46b.  I’m thinking these guys are trying to unlock additional value by splitting into 2 more focused holidng companies.  Forward EPS is at 11.2.  Book growth is at 11.56.  Return on equity is at 11.03.  Debt is at 31.47.  It looks like this stock went up on news of the impending split.  I just don’t think their growth is going to grow enough.  Let’s say book grows to 77 using current figures, we could see EPS of 8.53, and thus a price of maybe 187 plus say $5 in dividends.  They are currently selling at 86.65.  I’d buy at 50.  It would be speculative to reason they would shoot up upon splitting.

JKHY-JACK HENRY AND ASSOCIATES INC-Selling at 81.18.  P/E is at 30.29.  Cap is at 6.49.  Short interest is at 4%.  Dividned is 1 per year, so about 7.5 with ten and tax.  Analysts are bullish.  Book is at 11.94 per share.  Average p/e is at 23.  EPS this year 11.15, next year is at 11.5.  Book growth is at 5.73 over past 5.  Debt is at 3.17.  Return on equity is at 22.64.  EPS is at 2.68.  Dividend is thus at 37%.  Historical return on equity is more like 18 average.  Book is growing at 6.85 annual average.  Let’s say book is 23.16 and thus EPS of 4.63, and with a pe of more like 24, we could see a share price of 111 plus dividends of 7.5.  Earnings compound at 11.55 over past 9.  So let’s say we use 63% of that to grow, that would be compounding at a rate of 7.27 moving forward.  I just don’t know about this stock.  I’ll put a marker for 65 and i’ll keep an eye on these guys.

HXL-HEXCEL CORPORATION-Cap is at 3.91b.  Price is at 41.38.  They are 7% down on the year.  Dividend is at .4, so we’ll say $3 with 10 and tax per share.  P/E is at 16.96 and so we have EPS of 2.4398 and thus we have a 16% of EPS dividend.  Book is at 12.62.  Analysts are neutral.  7.52% short interest.  The aerospace industry is kinda suffering right now, but analysts expect a secular tailwind with increased aerospace spending. Historical return on equity can be stated at about 15.5.  Book has been growing at a nice clip, nearly 15%.  EPS is grwoing at 25% last 5 years.  EPS growht is supposed to be 17.19 this coming year and 11.66 in next 3-5  Book growth is at 12.34 over past 5 years.  Return on equity is at 19.82 this year.  Debt is at 45.14.   Earnings growth are compounding at like 14.42%.  This is a nice stock.  Wonder if there are unseemly things going on under the surface.  So let’s say that book grows at 12.  We could see book per share of 39.2, and thus EPS of 6.66 with a generous 17 r on e, and with a p/e of 16, we could see a price of say 10662 plus that dividend of 3 with ten and tax.  we’ll say they have a value of 110 in ten years….conservatively speaking.  I’d buy if they came down to 30…in all seriousness they could seriously grow.

BCPC-BALCHEM CORPORATION-Selling at 56.14.  Earnings compounding at an awesome 15.34%.  Return on equity is historically between 18-20, been at about 15 for the past 3 years.  Book growing very steadily, compounding at 18.53%.  Short interest is at 3.73.  Cap is at 1.77b.  P/E is at 28.07.  Dividend is at .34 for a .61% yield, paid once a year.  EPS is at 2 so dividends are at like 17% of eps.  Analysts are pretty bearish, but most are neutral.  Book is at 14.52 per share.  Enterprise value is at 1.99.  Eps this year is at .82 and no estimate for next 3-5.  Book growth is at 21.64 over past 5 years.  Return on equity this year is at 14.86.  Debt is at 66.96.  This company is at the top of their industry in most statistics.  They are also “best” stock of the past 30 years.  Average p/e is at 32, and now they are trading at 28.  Industry average is at about 20, as low as 16, because the industry is a bit depressed right now.  So let’s say dividend is at $3 after tax and ten.    Let’s say they grow book at 14% annually, they could be looking at a book value of 53.83 and thus EPS of 9.6894, and thus EPS of 271.30 with a p/e of 28, and iwth a p/e of 16, as low as 154.88.  I suppose the risk is whether their earnings stay strong.  This is obviously great stock.  They are the leading supplier of packaged 100% ethylene oxide to the healthcare industry.  They package hazardous materials in environmentally safe containers via fleet trucks.  They also produce fumigants for insect control and food contamination.  Let’s go with the compounding earnings figure.  They pay 17% of EPS in dividends so, let’s compound book by 12…very conservative, and return on equity of 15, for EPS of 6.765, and with p/e of 20, we see a price of 135.3 on the very conservative side.  That’s a steady return of 10.39 with a price of 50.  We’ll I’ll watch for a while.  I’ll buy a bit at 55, and i’ll buy at 53, and I’ll buy at 51.  The stock market is weird though.  Everything fluctuates on these huge macro issues, and these tool bags who play the earnings calls, and these dirtbag inside traders.

AMGN-AMGEN INC-Selling at 152.73.  Cap is at 115.21b.  Book is at 37.25. EPS growth next 3-5 is at 9.53.  Book growth is at 3.24%.   Return on equity is at 25.22.  Debt to equity is at 109.38.  Earnings have compounded at 11.49. Return on equuity is awesome, even through the recession.  average is at about 20.  Book is growing at an awesome clip.  It was growing at about 8.45 compounded over 10. Analysts love it.  Short interest is at 1.2%.  EPS is at 9.026.  They recently raised their dividend to 1 per share…wow.  That’ll be about 30, at least, after 10 and tax.  they are mid way between 52 week low and high.  Let’s say they compound book at 8.45, we could see book of 83.83, and thus an EPS of a pretty conservative 16.76, and with a p/e of 16, we could see a price of 268 plus 30 in dividends.  It’s a pretty good stock, with great growth prospects, but I would see an entry point of about 120 more to my liking.

MHK-MOHAWK INDUSTRIES INC-Selling at 163.38, not far off the 52 week low of 153.  No dividend.  2% short interest.  12b cap.  P/E is at 21.33.  PEG is 1.43.  EPS is 7.6596.  Analysts are neutral to negative.  Book is at 64.25.  Earnings growth is high, 17.11 in the next year.  14.9 in the next 3-5.  These guys are viewed as beneficiaries of the uptrend in houses being sold.  Can this trend continue?  Return on equity is at 12.68.  Debt is at 28%.  Earnings grow well, but they had a tough time after the recession.  EPS In 2006 was 6.57.  Book growth is at 6.66.  I would feel comfortable compounding at a figure of about 6.66.  We’ll say book is at 122.43, and thus 14.69 in EPS and thus a speculative 293.83 in price.  I don’t believe in this stock.  I could see buying at 75…I don’t like this company.

UA-UNDER ARMOUR INC-Selling at 84.07 after shooting up 22.59% today.  Book is at 7.11.  P/E is now at 70.  EPS growth is at 20+.  Book is at 27.55% growth.  Return on equity is at 15.1.  Debt is at 37.36.  This is a hard stock to analyze.  We’ll go with 17% growth.  Let’s say they have book of 34, and then a p/e of 20, we could see a price of like 680.  Wow, I get why this is shooting right up.  They’re getting all the big names in sports right now.  Lebron doesn’t have  too much longer.  Kobe is retiring.  These guys are riding Steph Curry’s wave.  Can they maintain their earnings?  Did steph curry make a deal with the devil?  I’ll watch, we’ll set a price point for 60 and we’ll watch.

Market is reacting in weird ways to earnings.  Bought 50 shares of LCI Lannett Company Inc. at 24.8.  I should buy more honestly.  I also bought 55 shares of Discover at 45.02.

PG-PROCTER AND GAMBLE CO-Selling at 78.805 today.  Down 15.56% on the year.  Dividend yield is at 3.45.  P/E is at 25.28.  Short interest is at .97%.  Cap is at 209.08b.  EPS is 3.1168.  Thus dividend is 2.65 and thus dividend is 85% of earnings.  Analysts are very neutral.  Earnings are really uneven.  I just don’t think these guys are a great candidate.

IHS INC-Cap is at 6.62b.  Book is 32.59.  EPS is at 36 average is at 46.68.  Enterprise value is at 8.46.  Earnings growth next year is at 9.52.  EPS long term is at 9.86.  Return on equity is at 8.61.  Debt is at 3.98.  These guys have been growing by acquisition.  This is seemingly why their debt is high and why r on e is lowish.  Eh.  Maybe not, these figures are in line with the norm. Analysts hate it.  Short interest is very low.  These guys are a commodity analytics provider.   Using a generous 10 for r on e, we have a book value of 84.53 and thus an EPS of say 8.453 and thus a share price of say 253 using a loft 30 p/e.  They are currently selling at 96.56.  They are pricey.  I’ll watch and set an alert for 70.  These guys are a good company, but they are almost in the category of a growth stock without a walloping galloping type of growth.

AN-AUTONATION INC-Sells at 45.18.  Cap is 5b.  Short interest is at 3.64.  P/E is at 11.3.  They’re at their 52 week low.  Analysts are neutral.  Book is at 20.40.  Average p/e is 17.  Book is shrinking.  Growth is at 13.48 and 12.7 long term.  Return on equity is at 20.97. Debt is at 87%.  Great historical earnings.  Return on equity is very good and growing with the excepition of 2008.    Book value per share is goo d except for 2008.  We’ll say book will be 82.5 in 10, and thus we might see eps of 16.5, and thus a price of 247 in 10 with a 15 p.e or maybe 160 with a 10 p/e.   This is a pretty good stock.

WDC-WESTERN DIGITAL CORPORATION-This stock has been performing terribly.  Down 57.5% on the year.  Currently selling at 42.73.  All sorts of rumors going around about patents they bought from IBM and on their buyout of sandisk.  P/E is now 7.96.  Cap is now at 10.37.  Short interest is now at 5.07%.  Dividend is at 2, so 15 with tax and ten.  PEG ratio is high indicating poor future growth prospects.  Analysts are bullish.  Book is at 40.42.  Average p/e is at 11.95.  Earnings are expected to be great this year but only up 2% over the next 3-5 year over year.  Book is growing at 14.38.  Return on equity is at 14.38.  Debt is at 23.65.  Looks like they have an earnings call on 1/28/16.  Their earnings are pretty good but imperfect.  Earnings have compounded at 12.45%.  Dividends are pretty steady.  Insider ownership is at 6.2.  We’ll say EPS is 5.36 and thus the dividend is about 40% of EPS.  Book grows at an amazing rate we’re talking about 22.71%.  The average and mean return on equity is gonna be high, but we can use the current rate…conservatively.  So if we use their compounded book growth rate, we could see book value of 149.85, and thus EPS of 20.979 and thus a price of 166.99 using the current p/e and 250.699 plus 15 in dividends for a value of between 20.05 on the high end and 15.59 on the low end.  Let’s say we look at their earnings of 5.36 and continue the compounding at 12.45, we could see EPS of 17.33, and with p/e of 7.96 v. 11.95, we could see share prices of 137.95 v. 207.09 plus the 15 in dividends for respective values of 152.95 v. 222.09 and thus rates of return between 13.6 and 17.92.  Let’s look at it as if return on equity is at 14.38 (which is very low) and they keep 60% to grow the business, we could see a book growth figure of 8.628 and thus book value of 92.49, and thus EPS of 12.948 and thus using our p/e figures a price of 103.07 or 154.728 plus the 15 for values of 118.07 and 169.728 and thus rate of return of 10.70 on the conservative low v.  14.79 on the higher side.  The company looks quantitatively good using these factors, so now we must take the analysis further.  Memory is a commodity.  It’s replaceable.  This industry can be easily disrupted.  It’s also vulnerable due to the decline of the PC.  Ultimately, I’d be speculating on their price going up short term, and long term, there’s no reason to guarantee they are going to steadily grow.

WM-WASTE MANAGEMENT INC-Selling at 52.56.  EPS is at 2.33.  Cap is 23.7b.  Dividend is at 1.54.  P/E is at 22.73.  Return on equity is 20.19.  Hard to do my analysis without Fidelity having the stock.  Return on equity is usually good, we can average 15.  Book value is kinda steady.  I’ll give em a 2% growth…I can tell this company isn’t a contender.

CBZ-CBIZ INC-Selling at 9.745.  Near their 52 week low of 8.21, but up 17% on the year.  No dividend.  Cap is 517.14.  Short interest is at 3.02.  P/E is at 14.98.  Book is at 8.54.  Average p/e is at 14.  Revenue grew last year, and EPS is supposed to grow 11.76 in the coming year.  Book growing at 8.12%.  Return on equity is at 8.03.  Debt to equity is at 49.63.  Median return on equity is at 11.  Good compounding on book value, we’ll use the 8.54 figure.  So let’s say we have book of 18.64 in 10, we could see EPS of say 2.05 conservatively speaking. and with a p/e average of 14, we could see a price of 28.705.  Not a bad rate of return.  If they came down to 7 I’d buy after doing a little scuttlebutt.

DST-DST SYSTEMS INC-Price is at 106.38.  Trading above their 93.06 52 week low.  Cap is at 3.68b.  Short interest is at .99%.  P/E is at 7.33.  PEG ratio is at .67.  Dividend is at 1.2.  Analysts are bullish.  Book is at 30.43.  Enterprise value is at 4.29.  EPS this year is at 12.05.  EPS in 3-5 is at 11.  Book growth is at 14.28.  Return on equity is at 46.5.  Debt 35.79.  Compounded growth rate is at 7.72.  These guys are a software development firm that specializes in information processing and management.  These guys provide backdoor streamlining of asset management, brokerage, healthcare, insurance, retirement, etc.  Seems kinda commodityish.  Let’s get crazy and say book continues to grow at 14%.  With a return on equity of of 26, which is lower than they have ever posted with one exception, we’d see book of 115.61 and thus EPS of 30, and thus a share price of aprox 240 using a p/e of 8.  We might also see dividends of 9ish after tax.  These guys are good stock with a commodity type business.  I wouldn’t be safe unless I saw a price of like 70 or 65.

PAG-PENSKE AUTOMOTIVE GROUP INC-Sells at 33.41.  Return on equity is at 19.64.  Typically it’s ok more than 15 11-14.  I could call it a 14.  Just bought a 49% stake in a Japanese luxury dealership.  Cap is at 3.01b.  Book value is at 19.72.  EPS  growth this year is at 9.97.  10.75 in next 3-5.  Book growth is at 11.89.  Debt is a reasonable 69.99.  Their earnings figures are awesome except for a bad period after the recession.  Earnings compound at 11.53.  Dividend is at 1.  So we could see 7.25 after 10 and tax.  We could also see abook value of say 61.25 and thus an eps of 8.575 and thus a price of 77 based on a p/e of 9, but a price of 116.88 if we use a 13.63 as p/e plus the 7.25 dividend.  On the low end, we’re looking at 85 and on the high end we’re looking at 123.  So, if they came down to 30, I’d think about pulling the trigger.  If they came down to 25, I’d buy.

MLHR-HERMAN MILLER INC-These guys manufacture office furniture, equipment and home furniture.  Analysts are very bullish.  Trading near the 52 week low.  Cap is at 1.52b.  Short interest is at 2.45.  Dividend is at .58, so 4 with 10 and tax.  P/E is at 13.56.  Bok is at 7.92.  Average p/e is at 22.7.  EPS growth this year is at 10.19.  No projection for 3-5 out.  Return on equity is at 25.35.  Debt is at 64.15.  Their earnings were crushed during the recession.  Pretty spotty earnings overall.  I don’t know.  I’m sensing this is an upscalish office furniture store.  My investment requirements won’t be met by this company.